← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Jan 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Bastia +0 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.92 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 65' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amine Sbai · Grenoble |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 423.00 | 484.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1481.08 | 1505.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.51 | 23.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.20 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 30.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 14.93 | 14.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.46 | 27.74 |
| state index | -0.22 | 0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |