← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Jan 20, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Caen win | 27% | 3.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Caen −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Moussa Doumbia · Sochaux |
| 26' | 🟨 | Franck Kanouté · Sochaux |
| 58' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Ismaël Aaneba · Sochaux |
| 89' | ⚽ | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal |
| coach days | 233.00 | 598.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1569.22 | 1475.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.19 | -5.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.40 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.66 |
| league points | 31.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 9.91 | 9.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.88 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.98 | 26.35 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.99 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |