← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Jan 13, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Pau FC win | 22% | 4.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 49' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Charles Boli · Pau FC |
| 77' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 89' | 🟨 | Yohan Bai · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 469.00 | 926.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1499.21 | 1443.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.84 | -7.04 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.70 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 26.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -9.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.60 | 26.81 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |