← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Jan 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 34% | 2.84 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Grenoble win | 32% | 3.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Mamadou Diarra · Grenoble |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mohamed Yattara · Pau FC |
| 68' | 🟨 | Abzi Diyaeddine · Pau FC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Allan Tchaptchet · Grenoble |
| 83' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 923.00 | 405.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 1.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1444.61 | 1461.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.01 | -35.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.79 |
| league points | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 10.99 | 10.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.78 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.71 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |