β Ligue 2 2022 Β· Tue, Jan 10, 07:45 PM UTC Β· ref: B. Bastien
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Annecy win | 30% | 3.28 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy β0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Valenciennes β0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.64 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | β½ | Dion Moise Sahi Β· Annecy |
| 45' | β½ | Aymen Boutoutaou Β· Valenciennes |
| 59' | π¨ | Allan Linguet Β· Valenciennes |
| 70' | β½ | Dion Moise Sahi Β· Annecy |
| 73' | β½ | Aymen Boutoutaou Β· Valenciennes |
| 85' | π¨ | Ahmed Kashi Β· Annecy |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1319.00 | 619.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1447.38 | 1485.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.37 | 13.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| league points | 25.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 10.99 | 10.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | -0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.70 | 27.31 |
| state index | -0.54 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |