← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Jan 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Nimes win | 29% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes +0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Metz +0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Boubakar Kouyaté · Metz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 48' | ⚽ | Lenny Joseph · Metz |
| 54' | ⚽ | Rafiki Saïd · Nimes |
| 56' | ⚽ | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 60' | ⚽ | Lenny Joseph · Metz |
| 74' | 🟨 | Cheick Tidiane Sabaly · Metz |
| 89' | ⚽ | Georges Mikautadze · Metz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade des Antonins |
| coach days | 70.00 | 223.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1425.11 | 1543.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.57 | 23.44 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 16.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 10.99 | 10.99 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.85 | 26.46 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |