← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Jan 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.59 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Bordeaux win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux −0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Caen −0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.57 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · Bordeaux |
| 24' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 25' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · Bordeaux |
| 39' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Bordeaux |
| 52' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 54' | 🟨 | Danylo Ihnatenko · Bordeaux |
| 68' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Bordeaux |
| 68' | 🟥 | Clément Michelin · Bordeaux |
| 69' | 🟨 | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 82' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 87' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 88' | 🟥 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alberth Elis · Bordeaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dilane Bakwa · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 22 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 588.00 | 343.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1474.59 | 1577.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.55 | -12.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.20 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.74 |
| league points | 24.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 11.07 | 11.16 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.41 | 24.83 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.73 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |