← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Dec 30, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.06 |
| Valenciennes win | 24% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 54% | 1.77 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Ndiaye · Bastia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mohamed Kaba · Valenciennes |
| 78' | ⚽ | Issiar Drame · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 455.00 | 1308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1490.62 | 1454.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.75 | -11.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.00 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| league points | 21.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.71 | 25.76 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |