← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Dec 30, 06:05 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Bakayoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 17' | ⚽ (pen) | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mickael Nade · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 43' | 🟨 | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 73' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Charbonnier · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 79' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 182.00 | 577.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.49 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1477.04 | 1472.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.69 | -19.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.20 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| league points | 15.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 4.09 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.35 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.42 | 26.20 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |