← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Bastia win | 31% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Bastia +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Kevin Schur · Bastia |
| 77' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Yohan Bai · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Yohan Bai · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 451.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1482.37 | 1481.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.78 | -5.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 51.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| league points | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |