← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.96 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.05 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Mamadou Fofana · Amiens |
| 22' | ⚽ | Mathis Picouleau · Valenciennes |
| 23' | ⚽ | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 60' | 🟨 | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 19 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1304.00 | 573.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 9.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1456.83 | 1441.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.42 | -78.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.71 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 25.93 |
| state index | -0.04 | -1.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.79 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |