← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Dec 26, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Toulliou
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Nimes win | 30% | 3.27 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ (pen) | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 30' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Tchokounte · Nimes |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jean N'Guessan · Nimes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolas Benezet · Nimes |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gaëtan Courtet · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade des Antonins |
| coach days | 55.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1431.23 | 1503.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.33 | -49.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.39 | -0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.49 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.18 | 0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 24.42 | 27.58 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |