← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Nov 12, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
| Bastia win | 21% | 4.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sochaux −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Ibrahim Sissoko · Sochaux |
| 42' | 🟨 | Julien Faussurier · Sochaux |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Franck Kanouté · Sochaux |
| 90' | 🟨 | Skelly Alvero · Sochaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sochaux | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Auguste-Bonal |
| coach days | 164.00 | 407.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1575.70 | 1488.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.12 | -3.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.70 | -0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 64.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| league points | 25.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 28.12 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |