β Ligue 2 2022 Β· Sat, Nov 12, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 53% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Annecy win | 18% | 5.56 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen β0.5 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Annecy β0.5 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.59 |
| Over | 39% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | π¨ | Bissenty Mendy Β· Annecy |
| 40' | π¨ | Hianga'a M'Bock Β· Caen |
| 67' | π¨ | Francois Lajugie Β· Annecy |
| 78' | π¨ | Vincent Pajot Β· Annecy |
| 78' | π¨ | Kevin Mouanga Β· Annecy |
| 79' | π¨ | Steve Shamal Β· Annecy |
| 85' | π¨ | Bilal Brahimi Β· Caen |
| 90' | π¨ | Emmanuel Ntim Β· Caen |
| 90' | π¨ | Arnold Temanfo Β· Annecy |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 529.00 | 560.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | β |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 0.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1482.82 | 1479.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.91 | -5.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | β |
| league points | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.17 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |