← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Bastia win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Bastia +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Julien Le Cardinal · Paris FC |
| 34' | ⚽ | Morgan Guilavogui · Paris FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 88' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 400.00 | 522.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.53 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1498.65 | 1548.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.52 | -9.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.77 |
| league points | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 29.11 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | 0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |