← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Valenciennes win | 29% | 3.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Caen +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 23' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 37' | 🟨 | Anthony Mandrea · Caen |
| 39' | ⚽ (pen) | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 57' | 🟨 | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marius Noubissi · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 28 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1253.00 | 522.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1467.83 | 1481.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.41 | -35.19 |
| eye test v1 | -0.35 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 48.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 14.04 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.70 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.10 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |