← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Nov 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 44% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Nimes win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Nimes +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Jean N'Guessan · Nimes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Tom Lacoux · Bordeaux |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jean N'Guessan · Nimes |
| 74' | 🟨 | Nasser Djiga · Nimes |
| 84' | 🟨 | Vital Nsimba · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 4.00 | 277.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1417.86 | 1594.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.85 | 27.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 13.88 | 13.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 2.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.31 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.26 | 24.28 |
| state index | -0.49 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.49 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |