← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 43% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Nimes win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Nimes −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 31' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Nimes |
| 35' | 🟥 | Nasser Djiga · Nimes |
| 48' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Nimes |
| 51' | 🟨 | Eddy Sylvestre · Pau FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Noé Sow · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Nimes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 843.00 | 628.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.14 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1442.60 | 1425.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.34 | -27.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.69 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.85 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 25.86 |
| state index | 0.19 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |