β Ligue 2 2022 Β· Sat, Oct 22, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Rodez win | 16% | 6.38 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen β0.75 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Rodez β0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | π₯ | Abdel Hakim Abdallah Β· Rodez |
| 49' | π¨ | Quentin Daubin Β· Caen |
| 57' | π¨ | Ali Abdi Β· Caen |
| 68' | β½ | Alexandre Mendy Β· Caen |
| 71' | β½ | Samuel Essende Β· Caen |
| 86' | π¨ | Emmanuel Ntim Β· Caen |
| 87' | π¨ | Joris Chougrani Β· Rodez |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 508.00 | 2670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1471.04 | 1422.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -56.07 | 14.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -1.39 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| league points | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 6.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 25.47 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |