← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Oct 17, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Bastia win | 33% | 2.98 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bastia +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Frank Magri · Bastia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Danylo Ihnatenko · Bordeaux |
| 83' | ⚽ | Danylo Ihnatenko · Bordeaux |
| 87' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 381.00 | 258.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1495.37 | 1590.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.71 | 25.38 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.30 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.77 |
| league points | 16.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 9.07 | 9.24 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 2.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.78 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.26 | 25.39 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |