← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Toulliou
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 39% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Laval win | 30% | 3.24 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Caen +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Yasser Balde · Laval |
| 31' | ⚽ | Geoffray Durbant · Laval |
| 33' | 🟨 | Zakaria Naidji · Laval |
| 57' | ⚽ | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 61' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jordan Adeoti · Laval |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 9 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1202.00 | 501.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 1.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1383.38 | 1492.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.49 | -22.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.18 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.72 |
| league points | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 29.32 | 26.97 |
| state index | -0.51 | -0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |