← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 15, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Guingamp +0.25 | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Tristan Muyumba · Guingamp |
| 36' | ⚽ | Joeffrey Cuffaut · Valenciennes |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jason Berthomier · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 1232.00 | 532.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1465.72 | 1526.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.90 | -5.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.32 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.74 |
| league points | 20.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.64 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 26.65 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |