← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 49% | 1.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Bastia win | 21% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Gautier Lloris · Le Havre AC |
| 33' | ⚽ | Quentin Cornette · Le Havre AC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 45' | 🟨 | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
| 48' | ⚽ | Victor Lekhal · Le Havre AC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Yann Kitala · Le Havre AC |
| 72' | 🟨 | Mamadou Camara · Bastia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Zakaria Diallo · Le Havre AC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Océane |
| coach days | 129.00 | 372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.12 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1524.18 | 1509.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.34 | 21.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | -0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.39 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| league points | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.22 | -0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 27.49 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |