← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Niort win | 16% | 6.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Niort −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.64 |
| Over | 41% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Lenny Vallier · Niort |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jessy Deminguet · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
| 50' | 🟨 | Johann Obiang · Caen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 90' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Niort |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.12 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 494.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1486.52 | 1395.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.67 | -13.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| league points | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | — |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.12 | 0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |