← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Oct 4, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Rodez win | 21% | 4.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Rodez −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
| 64' | 🟨 | Joris Chougrani · Rodez |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andy Pembélé · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 521.00 | 2652.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1558.44 | 1413.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.05 | 12.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.75 |
| league points | 17.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.89 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.38 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.11 | 26.91 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |