← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Nimes win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes +0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Paris FC +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Kouadio Dabila · Paris FC |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lebogang Phiri · Paris FC |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Nasser Djiga · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 11 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 607.00 | 487.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1445.71 | 1542.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.03 | -26.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 45.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| league points | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.15 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.52 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.45 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |