← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Oct 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Lissorgue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Dijon win | 33% | 2.92 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Dijon +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Adama Fofana · Dijon |
| 6' | 🟨 | Yann Kitala · Le Havre AC |
| 8' | 🟨 | Josué Casimir · Le Havre AC |
| 19' | 🟨 | Nolan Mbemba · Le Havre AC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Christopher Rocchia · Dijon |
| 71' | 🟨 | Loum Tchaouna · Dijon |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Dijon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 13 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 122.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1454.77 | 1524.46 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.30 | 42.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.77 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 14.17 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 24.77 |
| state index | -0.75 | 0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |