← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Valenciennes win | 32% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Jean Lambert Evan's Allan · Pau FC |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 40' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 48' | 🟥 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Ugo Bonnet · Valenciennes |
| 70' | 🟨 | David Gomis · Pau FC |
| 72' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 808.00 | 1204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 1.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1420.82 | 1447.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.45 | 18.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.80 |
| league points | 7.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.67 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 27.34 |
| state index | -0.57 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |