← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Sep 17, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Grenoble win | 29% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Caen +0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.50 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 37' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 37' | 🟥 | Gaëtan Paquiez · Grenoble |
| 45' | 🟨 | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 66' | ⚽ | Jordan Tell · Grenoble |
| 71' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 23 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 290.00 | 473.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1452.52 | 1527.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.07 | 17.26 |
| eye test v1 | -0.87 | 0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.32 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.55 | 0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.44 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.44 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.17 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |