← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Sep 10, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Valenciennes win | 33% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.58 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Mathieu Debuchy · Valenciennes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Marvin Senaya · Rodez |
| 52' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Rodez |
| 61' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 70' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 70' | 🟥 | Remy Boissier · Rodez |
| 73' | ⚽ | Marius Noubissi · Valenciennes |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mathis Picouleau · Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 2628.00 | 1197.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1408.19 | 1446.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.77 | 16.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.40 | 57.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.76 |
| league points | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 10.93 | 7.93 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.22 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 24.71 | 25.23 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |