← Ligue 2 2022 · Mon, Sep 5, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.62 |
| Pau FC win | 24% | 4.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Pau FC +0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Bakayoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 27' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 34' | ⚽ | Louis Mouton · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 36' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 63' | 🟥 | Etienne Green · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 68' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 70' | 🟨 | Yvann Maçon · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sergi Palencia · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 79' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lenny Pintor · AS Saint-Étienne |
| coach days | 796.00 | 66.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.84 | 3.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1408.64 | 1525.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.35 | -20.14 |
| eye test v1 | -1.19 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| league points | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.56 |
| season ppg | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.80 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.11 | 25.02 |
| state index | -1.21 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |