← Ligue 2 2022 · Fri, Sep 2, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Dijon win | 30% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon −0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Dijon |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel Congré · Dijon |
| 45' | 🟨 | Jordan Marié · Dijon |
| 50' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Bastia |
| 56' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Senou Coulibaly · Dijon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Kevin Van Den Kerkhof · Bastia |
| 80' | 🟥 | Christopher Rocchia · Dijon |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Robic · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 3 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 21 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 336.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1472.66 | 1481.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.07 | 2.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.80 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.80 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.43 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 28.73 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.46 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |