← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Aug 30, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Bastia win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Yvann Maçon · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 19' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 33' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lloyd Palun · Bastia |
| 36' | ⚽ (pen) | Jean-Philippe Krasso · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 57' | 🟨 | Abdoulaye Bakayoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 61' | ⚽ | Jean-Philippe Krasso · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 83' | 🟨 | Darnell Bile · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 87' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 60.00 | 333.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 1.43 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1509.92 | 1488.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.52 | -28.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.10 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.67 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 24.59 | 27.75 |
| state index | -1.12 | -0.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |