← Ligue 2 2022 · Tue, Aug 30, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Pau FC win | 13% | 7.92 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Pau FC −1 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 23' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 38' | 🟨 | David Gomis · Pau FC |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 63' | 🟨 | Samuel Essende · Caen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Hugo Vandermersch · Caen |
| 77' | 🟨 | Alexandre Olliero · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuel Essende · Caen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Samuel Essende · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 455.00 | 790.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1529.07 | 1403.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 41.59 | -30.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.35 | -0.82 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 27.09 | 26.78 |
| state index | 0.70 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |