← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Aug 27, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Perreau Niel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Caen win | 31% | 3.06 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 44% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.64 |
| Over | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟨 | Setigui Karamoko · Paris FC |
| 44' | ⚽ | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Adolphe Teikeu · Caen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
| 86' | 🟨 | Iyad Mohamed · Caen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Julien López · Paris FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moustapha Name · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Charléty |
| coach days | 452.00 | 452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1569.68 | 1526.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.30 | 21.92 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.50 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.75 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 26.60 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |