← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Aug 20, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 42% | 2.26 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Guingamp win | 27% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Maxime Barthelmé · Guingamp |
| 12' | 🟨 | Stephen Quemper · Guingamp |
| 18' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 19' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 49' | 🟨 | Bilal Brahimi · Caen |
| 52' | ⚽ | Samuel Essende · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Anthony Mandrea · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Yoann Cathline · Guingamp |
| 66' | 🟨 | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Benjamin Jeannot · Caen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
| 79' | 🟥 | Souleymane Diarra · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 445.00 | 476.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1509.84 | 1546.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.53 | 36.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.00 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 87.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.04 |
| state index | 0.30 | 0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |