← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Aug 13, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Caen win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.07 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.25 | 55% | 1.75 |
| Dijon −0.25 | 45% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Mickaël Le Bihan · Dijon |
| 49' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 60' | ⚽ | Xande Silva · Dijon |
| 66' | 🟨 | Daniel Congré · Dijon |
| 76' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 79' | 🟨 | Ousseynou Thioune · Dijon |
| 87' | ⚽ (og) | Cheik Traoré · Caen |
| 89' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Bryan Soumaré · Dijon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Gaston-Gérard |
| coach days | 73.00 | 438.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1479.83 | 1508.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.93 | 20.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 62.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.71 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 26.78 |
| state index | 0.14 | 0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |