← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Aug 13, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Paradis
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Paris FC win | 32% | 3.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Paris FC +0 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Maxime Barthelmé · Guingamp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Julien Le Cardinal · Paris FC |
| 63' | 🟥 | Paul Lasne · Paris FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 83' | 🟨 | Maxime Bernauer · Paris FC |
| 87' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 469.00 | 438.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1547.46 | 1581.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 45.21 | 5.67 |
| eye test v1 | 1.23 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.16 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.80 | 43.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 87.00 | 83.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 6.83 | 6.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.93 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.14 | 1.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |