← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Jul 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 44% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Laval win | 24% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Laval −0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.91 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Zakaria Naidji · Laval |
| 23' | 🟨 | Sébastien Salles-Lamonge · Bastia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Geoffray Durbant · Laval |
| 51' | 🟨 | Maxime Hautbois · Laval |
| 63' | ⚽ | Zakaria Naidji · Laval |
| 67' | 🟨 | Joris Sainati · Bastia |
| 71' | 🟥 | Dominique Guidi · Bastia |
| 79' | 🟥 | Kevin Tapoko · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 302.00 | 1125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | — |
| elo | 1516.95 | 1363.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.80 | -46.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.58 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 70.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 8.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 29.44 | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.17 | -1.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |