← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Jul 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Nimes win | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nimes +0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Caen +0.25 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.61 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Kelyan Guessoum · Nimes |
| 44' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · Nimes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Maël de Gevigney · Nimes |
| 77' | 🟨 | Samuel Essende · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 19 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade des Costières |
| coach days | 544.00 | 424.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1473.47 | 1487.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.98 | -7.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.50 | 26.93 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |