← Ligue 2 2022 · Sat, Jul 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 51% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 |
| Pau FC win | 21% | 4.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Guingamp −0.75 | 45% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Guingamp |
| 29' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 32' | ⚽ | Jules Gaudin · Guingamp |
| 34' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 44' | 🟨 | Mayron George · Pau FC |
| 52' | ⚽ | Jules Gaudin · Guingamp |
| 55' | 🟨 | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 62' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 68' | 🟨 | Abzi Diyaeddine · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 455.00 | 759.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.35 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1528.65 | 1445.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.07 | 20.36 |
| eye test v1 | 1.55 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | 0.68 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 2.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.54 | 26.09 |
| state index | 0.89 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |