← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Stegemann
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Nurnberg win | 27% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Nurnberg −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Lukas Schleimer · Nurnberg |
| 40' | 🟨 | Jannes Horn · Nurnberg |
| 64' | 🟨 | Ron Schallenberg · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nathaniel Brown · Nurnberg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Uwe Hünemeier · SC Paderborn 07 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| coach days | 696.00 | 116.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 3.38 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1560.32 | 1429.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.19 | 4.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.82 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.60 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| league points | 55.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 7.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.40 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 25.11 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |