← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Storks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 |
| Regensburg win | 17% | 5.62 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg +1 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Heidenheim +1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Benedikt Saller · Regensburg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 56' | ⚽ | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 58' | ⚽ (og) | Benedikt Saller · Heidenheim |
| 63' | 🟨 | Prince-Osei Owusu · Regensburg |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aygün Yıldırım · Regensburg |
| 82' | 🟨 | Joshua Mees · Regensburg |
| 86' | 🟨 | Steve Breitkreuz · Regensburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Jan-Niklas Beste · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 20 |
| 5 | On target | 11 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Regensburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Jahnstadion Regensburg |
| coach days | 27.00 | 5748.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.89 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1370.75 | 1603.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.59 | 9.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 1.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| league points | 31.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.10 | 8.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.07 | -0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 26.57 | 27.07 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.22 | -1.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |