← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 28, 01:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Thomsen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Holstein Kiel −0.25 | 47% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 74% | 1.29 |
| Under | 26% | 3.81 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 23' | ⚽ | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 45' | ⚽ | Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel |
| 57' | 🟨 | Philipp Sander · Holstein Kiel |
| 59' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 62' | ⚽ | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 72' | ⚽ | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| coach days | 331.00 | 604.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1474.36 | 1465.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.27 | -34.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | 0.22 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | — |
| league points | 44.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.08 | 8.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.06 | 0.92 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 29.65 |
| state index | 0.40 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | 0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |