← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Reichel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Hansa Rostock win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Hansa Rostock −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Lukas Hinterseer · Hansa Rostock |
| 11' | 🟨 | Ryan Malone · Hansa Rostock |
| 49' | 🟨 | Rick Van Drongelen · Hansa Rostock |
| 73' | 🟨 | Nico Neidhart · Hansa Rostock |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johannes Geis · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morris Schröter · Hansa Rostock |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| coach days | 109.00 | 81.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 3.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1431.94 | 1412.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.31 | 49.40 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -1.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.30 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.68 |
| league points | 35.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 60.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 33.40 |
| rest days | 8.79 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -2.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.64 | 28.57 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |