← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sun, May 21, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: M. Bacher
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Hannover win | 25% | 3.96 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.45 |
| Under | 34% | 2.86 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Hannover |
| 21' | ⚽ | Louis Schaub · Hannover |
| 30' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 36' | 🟨 | Håvard Nielsen · Hannover |
| 52' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 54' | 🟨 | Max Besuschkow · Hannover |
| 67' | 🟨 | Felix Klaus · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 77' | ⚽ | Daniel Ginczek · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 83' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 89' | ⚽ | Maximilian Beier · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
| 10 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Merkur Spiel-Arena |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 474.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 1.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1560.74 | 1470.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.19 | 25.41 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| league points | 54.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.18 | 27.08 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.38 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |