← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Sat, May 20, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Waschitzki
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 66% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.12 |
| Greuther Furth win | 14% | 6.85 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Greuther Furth −1.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 69% | 1.40 |
| Under | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Ludovit Reis · Hamburger SV |
| 27' | ⚽ | Miro Muheim · Hamburger SV |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gideon Jung · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | 🟨 | Gian-Luca Itter · Greuther Furth |
| 69' | ⚽ (pen) | László Bénes · Hamburger SV |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jonas Meffert · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | ⚽ | Lukas Petkov · Greuther Furth |
| 86' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟨 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 87' | 🟥 | Bakery Jatta · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 90' | 🟥 | Dickson Abiama · Greuther Furth |
| 0.80 |
| coach days | 688.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.02 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1610.38 | 1464.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.60 | -26.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.69 |
| league points | 60.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 60.40 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 7.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.95 | 27.15 |
| state index | 0.23 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |