β 2. Bundesliga 2022 Β· Sat, May 20, 11:00 AM UTC Β· ref: M. Burda
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Regensburg win | 29% | 3.35 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig β0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Regensburg β0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | β½ | Immanuel Pherai Β· Braunschweig |
| 21' | β½ | Charalambos Makridis Β· Regensburg |
| 32' | π¨ | Leon Guwara Β· Regensburg |
| 35' | π¨ | Christian Viet Β· Regensburg |
| 42' | π¨ | Scott Kennedy Β· Regensburg |
| 49' | β½ | Prince-Osei Owusu Β· Regensburg |
| 51' | π¨ | Jannis Nikolaou Β· Braunschweig |
| 70' | π¨ | Charalambos Makridis Β· Regensburg |
| 75' | π¨ | Danilo Wiebe Β· Braunschweig |
| 90' | π¨ | Charalambos Makridis Β· Regensburg |
| 90' | π₯ |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 16 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 718.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.10 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1413.82 | 1357.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.27 | -34.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| league points | 36.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.98 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | -0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 26.14 |
| state index | -0.30 | -1.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.40 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |