β 2. Bundesliga 2022 Β· Sat, May 20, 11:00 AM UTC Β· ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 72% | 1.33 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.58 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 10% | 9.93 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SV Sandhausen β1.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Heidenheim β1.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.62 |
| Under | 40% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | π¨ | Alexander Esswein Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 62' | π¨ | Tim Kleindienst Β· Heidenheim |
| 65' | π¨ | Erik Zenga Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | β½ | Jan-Niklas Beste Β· Heidenheim |
| 86' | π¨ | Ahmed Kutucu Β· SV Sandhausen |
| 88' | π¨ | Marnon Busch Β· Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 3 |
| 6 | On target | 0 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| coach days | 5740.00 | 49.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.28 | 3.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1600.20 | 1365.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.29 | 6.33 |
| eye test v1 | 1.01 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.60 |
| league points | 61.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 66.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.98 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.91 | 0.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.48 | 28.49 |
| state index | 0.71 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.54 | -0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |