← 2. Bundesliga 2022 · Fri, May 19, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 44% | 2.19 |
| Holstein Kiel win | 31% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Holstein Kiel +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.83 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ (pen) | Steven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel |
| 39' | ⚽ | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Timo Becker · Holstein Kiel |
| 53' | ⚽ (og) | Hauke Wahl · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 61' | ⚽ | Lukas Daschner · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 65' | 🟨 | Fin Bartels · Holstein Kiel |
| 74' | ⚽ | Leart Paqarada · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 77' | 🟨 | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 78' | ⚽ | Marco Komenda · Holstein Kiel |
| 87' | 🟨 | Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 87' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Holstein Kiel | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 |
| venue | Holstein-Stadion |
| 🟥 |
| Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hauke Wahl · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | 🟨 | Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel |
| 90' | ⚽ | Fabian Reese · Holstein Kiel |
| 1.60 |
| coach days | 595.00 | 169.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1473.91 | 1586.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.60 | 4.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 65.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.76 |
| league points | 43.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 18.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.63 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.58 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.67 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |